scan | The Schlain Democratic Party is up 2 points (19%). FdI remains above 30


to Nando Bagnoncelli

To the right of center, the association percentage rose to 8%. Forza Italia on 7.2. For PM Meloni, there is a slight decrease in approval (-2). Approval of the arrival of democracy above all abstentions. M5S drops to 16.8% (-0.7)

The political controversy in recent weeks has been particularly heated, and has had inevitable repercussions on the views of the Italians who must be viewed with great caution, bearing in mind the need to unite them, Especially after news like the election of Eli Schlein

At the head of the Democratic Party … the most important change compared to February Related to voting guidelines showing Democratic Party growth (+2%) A few decimal places decrease in majority parties and in 5-star motion. Overall, while the center-right remained firmly ahead at 46.5% in voter preferences, it fell by 1.7%, while the center-left rose, from 22.5% to 24.5%.
If the hypothesis materializes again, it is already difficult at the moment Wide field (left of center plus M5S and third pole) The situation today will be very balanced, with the coalitions separated by just one point (47.5% to 46.5% for wide field). It should be noted that the percentage of abstentions decreased by 2.7%, returning to values ​​similar to those recorded in the September 25 political elections.

This means that the percentage decline in the parties with an actual majority does not translate into an actual decrease, given that in absolute values ​​it would correspond to about 140 thousand voters compared to the growth of the centre-left parties by about 850 thousand voters. (Almost all of them were conquered by the PDP.) It follows from this that increasing participation is the main reason for the growth of democrats, Indeed, Schlein’s first moves (choosing the Democrats’ agenda topics, positioning on the left, first public appearance as party leader) seem to have returned part of the abstentions to the vote, attracted by the innovations proposed by the new secretary. . Furthermore, Pd seems to be benefiting from the influx of votes from 5 Stars (which it has surpassed to 2nd in the ranking), But it is too early to say whether the real competition will open between the two main opposition forces based in the progressive area.

Ellie Schlein, on the other hand, recorded a two-point decrease in approval rating compared to the data published on these pages last week: a decrease attributed to the increase in her notoriety given that she was initially known more by diem, center-left voters and those who mostly follow political news ; As the audience of those who know her increases, so does the percentage of those who are far from her political area, and thus their sympathy for her decreases. Despite the decline, Schlein with an index of 34 is still at the top of the ranking, ahead of Giuseppe Conte (index 31, up one point), Matteo Salvini and Silvio Berlusconi, stable respectively at 28 and 26, then Maurizio Luppi and Carlo Calenda at 20, while Nicola Fratoianni, Angelo Bonelli and Matteo Renzi, despite each of them rising by one point, are confirmed in the last three places in the standings.

As for opinions about the work of the government and the prime minister, positive judgments decreased by two points and amount to 43% for the executive branch (the same value as negative judgments) and 44% for Georgia Meloni (against 42%). expresses itself negatively). The approval rating, calculated by comparing positive to negative opinions, was 50 and 51, respectively, the lowest since the term began.

Therefore, the country appears increasingly divided and the events of recent weeks seem to have polarized opinions, Just think of Koto’s tragedy,
To the controversy about the relief and the famous karaoke at Salvini’s birthday party;
But also to a basic income review and active inclusion measure (Mia), to tax reform (which trade unions clearly oppose), to less relaxed relations with the European Union on various issues, from environmental issues (halting the sale of cars with internal combustion engines from 2035 and guidance on green homes), to Mays, to extend beach concessions. In the background, there is constant anxiety about the economic situation, exacerbated by the alarms of the banking sector after the Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse cases. In short, the level of political opposition has risen, as evidenced by the difficult discussions between Meloni and Schlein at the time of questioning in the room in recent days. Regional elections will take place between April and June in Friuli Venezia Giulia and Molise As well as local elections in 790 Italian municipalities, 18 of which are regional capitals. It is easy to expect that, despite the fact that these are local elections, they will be regarded, as always, as an ordeal, a trial by fire for the government, parties and leaders, or rather, leaders.

March 18, 2023 (changed on March 18, 2023 | 12:20)



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