Spain, the remontada stops right

Spain does not want Vox to enter the country’s government: that is the clear message that came from the opinion polls in the middle of summer this Sunday.

Despite the manipulation of opinion polls and the media clamor in support of Sanchezmo’s repeal, the Spanish leftists, PSOE and Sumar, succeeded in preventing the formation of a reactionary government formed by the Popular Party of Alberto Núñez Viejo and the far right of Santiago Abascal. The Partido Popular returned to being the first party, but the Spanish electorate by a majority put a barrier to the decline in civil rights and liberties, fifty years ago in the country’s memory. Pedro Sánchez made it very clear, around midnight Sunday, to the militants who poured into the party’s national headquarters, on Calle Ferraz: “The reactionary blockade has failed.” And the socialist leader repaid his bet.

next day In the May 28 local elections that wiped out the socialist institutional representation, the prime minister called snap elections, risking everything. And as on other occasions in his political career, Sanchez has succeeded in asserting that he has extraordinary political intuition. The right does not have the numbers to rule, and the left needs to expand the parliamentary majority to renew a progressive coalition government. The alternative, unlikely at the moment, is to return to new elections in a few months.

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The People’s Party wins the election, but is defeated in its goal of returning to Moncloa at any cost, even at the cost of taking on the extreme right to the point of internalizing its language and programmes. The arrogance of those who gave themselves away as winners too quickly, the strategy of lying practiced during the election campaign, the photo taken from the archives of Vigo on a boat with a well-known Galician drug smuggler, the unease of a part of the moderate electorate about the alliance with the post-Franco Foxists: all this not only served to mobilize a more scattered democratic conscience in the country.

Workers party defeated 136 seats, up 47 from the 2019 elections, with a positive difference of only 300,000 votes compared to the Socialist Party, and not the blue tsunami everyone expected. It is polarizing voters in Ciudadanos, a party that has now disappeared from the political scene, and is attracting part of the Vox party, sensitive to the appeal of bipartisanship. Thus the sum of Popolare and Vox, weakened by the loss of almost a million votes and 19 deputies, stops at seven seats from the absolute parliamentary majority of 176.

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PSOE improved 2019 results in votes and seats, with 122, thanks to the excellent result achieved in Euskadi (where Bildó overtook Pnv by one seat) and above all in Catalonia, where – and this has not happened since 2008 – it returned to being the most voted party with 35% of the vote and 19 deputies elected. Somar, the left-wing formation led by Yolanda Diaz, counters with dignity the advantageous voting logic that rewarded the socialists. It narrowly lost the third place and failed to regain the full representation occupied by Unidas Podemos in 2019, Podemos Secretary Ione Belarra accused yesterday morning. He is elected to 31 deputies (12.3% for more than three million votes) and asserts himself as a key partner in re-issuing a progressive coalition government.

in CataloniaThe vote resulted in real political turmoil compared to four years ago, when elections were held close to the verdict condemning the independence leaders to trial. Not only because it belongs to being the indispensable socialist granary for any progress in the country and because Sumar conquers second place. But also because pro-independence parties are significantly underrepresented, and a part of the pro-independence people have chosen not to vote at all. Esquerra Republicana’s support is particularly diminishing: it pays the price for open dialogue with the Spanish government in the former legislature, losing six seats and equaling the seven deputies elected by Junts (which he falls by one), although it exceeds the formation of Carles Puigdemont in votes. While the cup remains even outside Parliament. However, the key to starting the new legislature lay in Catalan independence.

Next August 17th The kurtis are formed. King Felipe VI must give the job to Figo, who claims to want an unlikely minority government. The parties that have already confirmed in the countryside their agreement to reissue a progressive coalition government are part of a pluralist Spain that recognizes itself in the choice of independence or the nationalist choice: these parties are Esquerra, the Basque parties Pnv and Bildu and the Galician Bng group. But all these parties together with the Spanish Left stop at 172. Thus, in the second vote, when a simple majority of votes will suffice, it will be necessary for Jontes to abstain. Jontes has already said his vote will not be free, but Sanchez is ruling out a possible re-election.